here's some good articles which will help to explain the forecasts mate;http://magicseaweed.com/Surf-Forecast-Accuracy-Content/1165/http://magicseaweed.com/Ten-Day-Forecasts-and-Forecast-Probability-Content/2542/
And quite an old one but with some relevant pointshttp://magicseaweed.com/Whats-New:-How-Your-Forecast-Is-Changing-Content/1168/
I maybe didn't mean to come across totally harsh earlier, just too many people want their hands held these days and get all twisted up if something isn't exactly right straight off the bat. Surf forecasts can't beat local knowledge and I bet that a great many people in your town would be able to look at forecasts off of MSW, account for local conditions such as the effect of the barrier reef and instinctivley know when to go and when to fire up the XBOX instead.
Henno wrote:Come on! I need a website that tells me the facts not one I need to correct. The main point here is that when you start a site that predicts the weather/surf/race results/romantic outcomes and you stuff it up on a regular basis you DESERVE to be outted for your incompetence. It's the Australian way mate.
About this, the forecasts are built using data from bouys and the MSW office is in the UK, if corrections to the models are not indicated by some trigger, be it a eyeball report or note to the MSW office then the models won't get corrected will they?? And I disagree about the Australian way being one of arrogantly calling out something as broken without thinking about it first and maybe giving some input to get it fixed; I have a bunch of Aussie mates and they don't behave like that.
If you have a real issue with the forecast being inaccurate your best approach is to drop a line to the MSW office and ask them to take a look at it, they may ask you for some information to help improve the model or they might not.
You can email General@magicseaweed.com
Hope that helps and you get the understanding or the changes you feel are required.