SJ's Surf Forecast for the SW - 12-18 September 2016

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SJ's Surf Forecast for the SW - 12-18 September 2016

Postby Shiraz Jiwa » Mon Sep 12, 2016 10:36 am

SJ’s Surf Forecast for the SW

Forecast last updated at 11:30 Monday 12th September 2016
[Don’t forget to look at this forecast the day before you go beach for the latest, as things can often change!]

The Rest Of The Week:
‘Warm and humid start to the week with some OK to good surf. However the surf will deteriorate towards the weekend. Make the most of the surf at the start of the week!’
Sunrise and sunset – 06:55 and 19:30
Twilight starts and ends – 06:25 and 20:05
Midday – 13:15
Length of day – 12:35
Offshore Sea Temp approx – 17C / 62.5F
outputmodelrun-120916-0930
Image

Monday 12th:
‘Some good waves on the North which should improve towards the low tide and on the tidal push in the afternoon. The south will be blown out.’
Swell – (i) Weak SW going OK WSW-SW
Wind – Medium-Strong S going Medium SSE
Weather – Damp start turning into a cloudy but dsry day.
North Coast – 6ft (Headhigh) going 6-8ft (Overhead)
South Coast – 2-4ft (Waisthigh)
Tides – 08:31 Low, 14:33 Low

Tuesday 13th:
‘Great and glassy first thing, but the winds will soon turn to an onshore N/NW by mid/late morning.’
Swell – (i) OK WSW going W-WSW
Wind – Light Variable soon going Light-Medium N-NNW
Weather – Mixture of cloud and light rain.
North Coast – 6ft (Headhigh) going 5ft (Shoulderhigh)
South Coast – 2-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh) going 1-2ft (Kneehigh)
Tides – 09:34 Low, 15:32 High

Wednesday 14th:
‘A little uncertainty in the charts for Wednesday. There’ll be some swell left, but the winds may (or may not) go offshore for the North.’
Swell – (i) OK W-WSW (ii) OK WNW going W-WNW
Wind – Light-Medium N going Changable (possibly NE-SE)
Weather – Mixture of cloud and rain.
North Coast – 4-5ft (Chest-Shoulderhigh) going 3ft (Waisthigh)
South Coast – 1-2ft (Kneehigh) going 1ft
Tides – 10:24 Low, 16:20 High

Thursday 15th:
‘Small messy surf, but enough for the surf schools etc on the North. The south will be close to flat.’
Swell – (i) Weak W-WNW
Wind – Light N going Light-Medium NW
Weather – Cloudy with a chance of a light rain shower.
North Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh)
South Coast – 1ft
Tides – 11:07 Low, 17:03 High

Friday 16th:
‘Poor blown out messy surf.’
Swell – (i) OK W-WNW (ii) VeryStrong WNW
Wind – Meduim NW going WNW
Weather – Cloudy but dry. A bit cooler today compared to earlier in the week.
North Coast – 3-4ft (Waist-Chesthigh) going 4-6ft (Chest-headhigh)
South Coast – 1ft going 1-2ft (Kneehigh)
Tides – 11:48 Low, 17:44 High

Weekend Summary:
‘Poor weekend for surf – messy choppy conditions expected for the North, and too small for the south coast.’

Saturday 17th:
‘Messy choppy surf.’
Swell – (i) Strong WNW
Wind – Light-Medium W-WNW
Weather – Cloudy but dry.
North Coast – 5ft (Shoulderhigh) going 4ft (Chesthigh)
South Coast – 1-2ft (Kneehigh) going 1ft
Tides – 12:29 Low, 18:26 High

Sunday 18th:
‘Messy choppy surf.’
Swell – (i) Strong WNW going OK W
Wind – Light-Medium WSW going Medium SW
Weather – Cloudy but dry.
North Coast – 3-4ft (Waist-Chesthigh)
South Coast – 1ft
Tides – 06:47 High, 13:10 Low, 19:08 High

Early Next Week:
‘Too early to tell yet.’

The scale for measuring conditions:

0-1ft – Unridable/Flat
1-2ft – Kneehigh
3ft – Waisthigh
4-5ft – Chest/Shoulderhigh
6ft – Headhigh
6-8ft = 1-1.5x Overhead
8-10ft = 1.5x Overhead
10-12ft = 2x Overhead
Please Note!

Wave height predictions are based on the larger breaks on both coasts such as Fistral and Croyde for the North, and Praa Sands and Bantham for the South.

Wave height is measured from the front of the wave, and 6ft would usually mean a ‘head-high’ wave.

Try and use some ‘local’ knowledge about what the wave sizes will be elsewhere. For example the Newquay Bay area is generally 1/3 to 3/4 the size of Fistral, increasing the further up the bay you go from Towan to Lusty Glaze, and that it will be clean on a W wind at ‘harbour left’ at Towan at mid-tide’ for example.

Tide times are based on Newquay.

Stay Stoked!
SJ
Never known to miss a marketing opportunity... After years in the wilderness, Sj, the harbinger of doom, Mr Entropy, the kiss of death, the swell killer, yes, the man formerly known as SJ, is back, cunningly disguised as Sj ! {Quote: Tony Plant - 2009}
User avatar
Shiraz Jiwa
 
Posts: 100
Joined: Sun Jun 12, 2016 11:54 am

Re: SJ's Surf Forecast for the SW - 12-18 September 2016

Postby Shiraz Jiwa » Tue Sep 13, 2016 9:36 am

SJ’s Surf Forecast for the SW

Forecast last updated at 10:30 Tuesday 13th September 2016
[Don’t forget to look at this forecast the day before you go beach for the latest, as things can often change!]

The Rest Of The Week:
‘Warm and humid start to the week with some OK to good surf. However the surf will deteriorate towards the weekend. Make the most of the surf at the start of the week!’
Sunrise and sunset – 06:55 and 19:30
Twilight starts and ends – 06:25 and 20:05
Midday – 13:15
Length of day – 12:35
Offshore Sea Temp approx – 17C / 62.5F
outputmodelrun-130916-1030
Image

Monday 12th:
‘Some good waves on the North which should improve towards the low tide and on the tidal push in the afternoon. The south will be blown out.’
Swell – (i) Weak SW going OK WSW-SW
Wind – Medium-Strong S going Medium SSE
Weather – Damp start turning into a cloudy but dsry day.
North Coast – 6ft (Headhigh) going 6-8ft (Overhead)
South Coast – 2-4ft (Waisthigh)
Tides – 08:31 Low, 14:33 Low

Tuesday 13th:
‘Great and glassy first thing, but the winds will soon turn to an onshore N/NW by mid/late morning.’
Swell – (i) OK WSW going W-WSW
Wind – Light Variable soon going Medium N
Weather – Mixture of cloud and light rain.
North Coast – 6ft (Headhigh) going 5ft (Shoulderhigh)
South Coast – 2-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh) going 1-2ft (Kneehigh)
Tides – 09:34 Low, 15:32 High

Wednesday 14th:
‘A little uncertainty in the charts for Wednesday. There’ll be some swell left, but the winds shoudl go increasingly offshore for the North during the day as they veer towards a SE direction.’
Swell – (i) OK W-WSW (ii) OK WNW going W-WNW
Wind – Light-Medium NE going SE
Weather – Mixture of cloud and rain in the morning.Brightening up in the afternoon with plenty of sunshine.
North Coast – 5ft (Shoulderhigh) going 3-4ft (Waist-Chesthigh)
South Coast – 1-2ft (Kneehigh) going 1ft
Tides – 10:24 Low, 16:20 High

Thursday 15th:
‘Should be great first thing, but the winds will soon pick up and turn onshore leaving small messy surf.’
Swell – (i) Weak W-WNW
Wind – Light Variable going Light-Medium NW
Weather – Cloudy with a chance of a light rain shower.
North Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh)
South Coast – 1ft
Tides – 11:07 Low, 17:03 High

Friday 16th:
‘Poor blown out messy surf.’
Swell – (i) OK W-WNW (ii) VeryStrong WNW
Wind – Meduim NW
Weather – Cloudy but dry. A bit cooler today compared to earlier in the week.
North Coast – 4ft (Chesthigh) going 4-6ft (Chest-Headhigh)
South Coast – 1ft going 1-2ft (Kneehigh)
Tides – 11:48 Low, 17:44 High

Weekend Summary:
‘Poor weekend for surf – messy choppy conditions expected for the North, and too small for the south coast.’

Saturday 17th:
‘Messy choppy surf.’
Swell – (i) Strong WNW
Wind – Light-Medium W
Weather – Cloudy but dry.
North Coast – 5ft (Shoulderhigh) going 4ft (Chesthigh)
South Coast – 1-2ft (Kneehigh) going 1ft
Tides – 12:29 Low, 18:26 High

Sunday 18th:
‘Messy choppy surf.’
Swell – (i) Strong WNW going OK W
Wind – Light-Medium WSW going Medium SW
Weather – Cloudy but dry.
North Coast – 4ft (Chesthigh)
South Coast – 1ft
Tides – 06:47 High, 13:10 Low, 19:08 High

Early Next Week:
‘Too early to tell yet.’

The scale for measuring conditions:

0-1ft – Unridable/Flat
1-2ft – Kneehigh
3ft – Waisthigh
4-5ft – Chest/Shoulderhigh
6ft – Headhigh
6-8ft = 1-1.5x Overhead
8-10ft = 1.5x Overhead
10-12ft = 2x Overhead
Please Note!

Wave height predictions are based on the larger breaks on both coasts such as Fistral and Croyde for the North, and Praa Sands and Bantham for the South.

Wave height is measured from the front of the wave, and 6ft would usually mean a ‘head-high’ wave.

Try and use some ‘local’ knowledge about what the wave sizes will be elsewhere. For example the Newquay Bay area is generally 1/3 to 3/4 the size of Fistral, increasing the further up the bay you go from Towan to Lusty Glaze, and that it will be clean on a W wind at ‘harbour left’ at Towan at mid-tide’ for example.

Tide times are based on Newquay.

Stay Stoked!
SJ
Never known to miss a marketing opportunity... After years in the wilderness, Sj, the harbinger of doom, Mr Entropy, the kiss of death, the swell killer, yes, the man formerly known as SJ, is back, cunningly disguised as Sj ! {Quote: Tony Plant - 2009}
User avatar
Shiraz Jiwa
 
Posts: 100
Joined: Sun Jun 12, 2016 11:54 am

Re: SJ's Surf Forecast for the SW - 12-18 September 2016

Postby Shiraz Jiwa » Tue Sep 13, 2016 10:05 pm

NO FORECAST UPDATES FOR THE NEXT WEEK OR TWO. JUST BEEN FLOODED THIS EVENING DUE TO THE STORMS :(((((
Never known to miss a marketing opportunity... After years in the wilderness, Sj, the harbinger of doom, Mr Entropy, the kiss of death, the swell killer, yes, the man formerly known as SJ, is back, cunningly disguised as Sj ! {Quote: Tony Plant - 2009}
User avatar
Shiraz Jiwa
 
Posts: 100
Joined: Sun Jun 12, 2016 11:54 am


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