SJ's Surf Forecast for the SW - 1 August - 7 August 2016

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SJ's Surf Forecast for the SW - 1 August - 7 August 2016

Postby Shiraz Jiwa » Tue Aug 02, 2016 8:47 am

SJ’s Surf Forecast for the SW

Forecast last updated at 09:40 Tuesday 2nd August 2016
Hi everyone – these updates are currently made at any time of the day as and when I get the time/chance to update – however from September the intention would be for it to be updated every weekday morning by 10am.

[Don’t forget to look at this forecast the day before you go beach for the latest, as things can often change!]

The Rest Of The Week:
‘Autumnal feel to this week with strong winds and plenty of rain.’
Sunrise and sunset – 05:55 and 20:55
Twilight starts and ends – 05:15 and 21:35
Midday – 13:25
Length of day – 15:00
Offshore Sea Temp approx – 16.5C / 62F
outputmodelrun-020816-0930
Image

Monday 1st:
‘Small onshore waves.’
Swell – (i) Weak WSW-SW
Wind – Light-Medium going Medium SW
Weather – Overcast with heavy heavy rain
North Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh)
South Coast – 1-2ft (Kneehigh)
Tides – 11:09 Low, 17:09 High

Tuesday 2nd:
‘Sheltered spots on the North should be working with a clean wave.’
Swell – (i) Weak going OK W-WSW
Wind – Medium-Strong going Medium SW
Weather – Overcast and rainy start, with the rain stopping by lunchtime
North Coast – 6ft (Headhigh)
South Coast – 2-4ft (Waisthigh)
Tides – 05:28 Low, 11:49 Low, 17:49 High

Wednesday 3rd:
‘Strong wind! Sheltered spots should be holding a good wave on both coasts.’
Swell – (i) OK W-WSW going W
Wind – Medium going Medium-Strong WSW
Weather – Mixture of cloud and sunshine
North Coast – 6-8ft (Overhead) going 8-10ft (1.5 x Overhead)
South Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh) going 3-4ft (Waist-Chesthigh)
Tides – 06:13 High, 12:31 Low, 18:31 High

Thursday 4th:
‘Nothing on the North with large even dangerous conditions. Depending what the winds do, it could be OK elsewhere if you know where to look – take note of the tide times.’
Swell – (i) OK W
Wind – Medium W going WNW
Weather – Mixed bag of cloud, sunshine, and heavy showers
North Coast – 6-8ft (Overhead) going 4-6ft (Chest-Headhigh)
South Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh) going 1-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh)
Tides – 06:53 High, 13:10 Low, 19:11 High (Spring tides)

Friday 5th:
‘Poor quality junky/mushy waves.’
Swell – (i) OK W-WNW going Weak W
Wind – Light-Medium WNW going W-SW
Weather – Mixture of cloud and sunshine
North Coast – 4-5ft (Chest-Shoulderhigh) going 3ft (Waisthigh)
South Coast – 1-2t (Kneehigh)
Tides – 07:32 High, 13:50 Low, 19:49 High

Weekend Summary:
‘Sunday should be a stonker of a day for surf as a new long-range swell is looking likely to hit!!’

Saturday 6th:
‘Small weak on/crosshore surf.’
Swell – (i) Weak W-WSW
Wind – Light-Medium SW
Weather – Cloudy but dry
North Coast – 2-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh) going 3ft (Waisthigh)
South Coast – 1f
Tides – 08:09 High, 14:26 Low, 20:24 High

Sunday 7th:
‘New long-range swell kicking in – the first proper long-range swell of the season!! Depending on how the wind forecast changes – the exact/precise detail will become clear by Friday, as to exactly what will be happening on Sunday.’
Swell – (i) Weak W-WSW going Strong W
Wind – Light NW
Weather – Cloudy with the odd sunny spell
North Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh) going 8-10ft (1.5 x overhead)
South Coast – 1ft going 3-4ft (Waist-Chesthigh)
Tides – 08:44 High, 15:01 Low, 20:59 High

Early Next Week:
‘Monday should see plenty of good swell – too early to tell what the winds will do yet!’

The scale for measuring conditions:

0-1ft – Unridable/Flat
1-2ft – Kneehigh
3ft – Waisthigh
4-5ft – Chest/Shoulderhigh
6ft – Headhigh
6-8ft = 1-1.5x Overhead
8-10ft = 1.5x Overhead
10-12ft = 2x Overhead
Please Note!

Wave height predictions are based on the larger breaks on both coasts such as Fistral and Croyde for the North, and Praa Sands and Bantham for the South.

Wave height is measured from the front of the wave, and 6ft would usually mean a ‘head-high’ wave.

Try and use some ‘local’ knowledge about what the wave sizes will be elsewhere. For example the Newquay Bay area is generally 1/3 to 3/4 the size of Fistral, increasing the further up the bay you go from Towan to Lusty Glaze, and that it will be clean on a W wind at ‘harbour left’ at Towan at mid-tide’ for example.

Tide times are based on Newquay.

Stay Stoked!
SJ
Never known to miss a marketing opportunity... After years in the wilderness, Sj, the harbinger of doom, Mr Entropy, the kiss of death, the swell killer, yes, the man formerly known as SJ, is back, cunningly disguised as Sj ! {Quote: Tony Plant - 2009}
User avatar
Shiraz Jiwa
 
Posts: 100
Joined: Sun Jun 12, 2016 11:54 am

Re: SJ's Surf Forecast for the SW - 1 August - 7 August 2016

Postby Chris F » Tue Aug 02, 2016 2:38 pm

I can do a forecast for the NE Scotland

M Shite - onshore
T - Shite - flat
W - shitey tiny unsurfable lumps
T - shitey shite
F - gash
S - wet shite
S - horizontal sleety shite
Chris F
 
Posts: 7659
Joined: Thu Jan 26, 2006 2:13 pm
Location: Yabberdabberdeen

Re: SJ's Surf Forecast for the SW - 1 August - 7 August 2016

Postby Shiraz Jiwa » Wed Aug 03, 2016 7:46 am

Chris F wrote:I can do a forecast for the NE Scotland

M Shite - onshore
T - Shite - flat
W - shitey tiny unsurfable lumps
T - shitey shite
F - gash
S - wet shite
S - horizontal sleety shite


Lol @ Chris F
Never known to miss a marketing opportunity... After years in the wilderness, Sj, the harbinger of doom, Mr Entropy, the kiss of death, the swell killer, yes, the man formerly known as SJ, is back, cunningly disguised as Sj ! {Quote: Tony Plant - 2009}
User avatar
Shiraz Jiwa
 
Posts: 100
Joined: Sun Jun 12, 2016 11:54 am

Re: SJ's Surf Forecast for the SW - 1 August - 7 August 2016

Postby Shiraz Jiwa » Wed Aug 03, 2016 7:47 am

SJ’s Surf Forecast for the SW

Forecast last updated at 08:30 Wednesday 3rd August 2016
Hi everyone – these updates are currently made at any time of the day as and when I get the time/chance to update – however from September the intention would be for it to be updated every weekday morning by 10am.

[Don’t forget to look at this forecast the day before you go beach for the latest, as things can often change!]

The Rest Of The Week:
‘Autumnal feel to this week with strong winds and plenty of rain.’
Sunrise and sunset – 05:55 and 20:55
Twilight starts and ends – 05:15 and 21:35
Midday – 13:25
Length of day – 15:00
Offshore Sea Temp approx – 16.5C / 62F
outputmodelrun-030816-0930
Image

Monday 1st:
‘Small onshore waves.’
Swell – (i) Weak WSW-SW
Wind – Light-Medium going Medium SW
Weather – Overcast with heavy heavy rain
North Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh)
South Coast – 1-2ft (Kneehigh)
Tides – 11:09 Low, 17:09 High

Tuesday 2nd:
‘Sheltered spots on the North should be working with a clean wave.’
Swell – (i) Weak going OK W-WSW
Wind – Medium-Strong going Medium SW
Weather – Overcast and rainy start, with the rain stopping by lunchtime
North Coast – 6ft (Headhigh)
South Coast – 2-4ft (Waisthigh)
Tides – 05:28 Low, 11:49 Low, 17:49 High

Wednesday 3rd:
‘Strong wind! Sheltered spots should be holding a good wave on both coasts. Be careful out there.’
Swell – (i) OK W-WSW going W
Wind – Medium going Medium-Strong WSW
Weather – Mixture of cloud and sunshine
North Coast – 6-8ft (Overhead) going 8-10ft (1.5 x Overhead)
South Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh) going 3-4ft (Waist-Chesthigh)
Tides – 06:13 High, 12:31 Low, 18:31 High

Thursday 4th:
‘Nothing on the North with large even dangerous conditions.’
Swell – (i) OK W
Wind – Medium W going WNW
Weather – Mixture of cloud and sunshine, with the odd light shower
North Coast – 6-8ft (Overhead) going 4-5ft (Chest-Shoulderhigh)
South Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh) going 1-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh)
Tides – 06:53 High, 13:10 Low, 19:11 High (Spring tides)

Friday 5th:
‘Poor quality junky/mushy waves.’
Swell – (i) OK W-WNW going Weak W
Wind – Light-Medium WNW going W-WSW
Weather – Mixture of cloud and sunshine
North Coast – 3-4ft (Waist-Chesthigh) going 2-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh)
South Coast – 1-2t (Kneehigh)
Tides – 07:32 High, 13:50 Low, 19:49 High

Weekend Summary:
‘Sunday should be a stonker of a day for surf as a new long-range swell is looking likely to hit!!’

Saturday 6th:
‘Small weak on/crosshore surf.’
Swell – (i) Weak W-WSW
Wind – Light-Medium SW
Weather –Mixture of cloud and sunshine
North Coast – 2-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh)
South Coast – 1f
Tides – 08:09 High, 14:26 Low, 20:24 High

Sunday 7th:
‘New long-range swell kicking in – the first proper long-range swell of the season!! Depending on how the wind forecast changes – the exact/precise detail will become clear by Friday, as to exactly what will be happening on Sunday. There will be a JUMP in surf size from first thing in the morning.’
Swell – (i) Weak W-WSW going Strong W
Wind – Light W going WNW
Weather – Mixture of cloud and sunshine
North Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh) going 8-10ft (1.5 x overhead)
South Coast – 1ft going 3-4ft (Waist-Chesthigh)
Tides – 08:44 High, 15:01 Low, 20:59 High

Early Next Week:
‘Monday should see plenty of good swell – too early to tell what the winds will do yet!’

The scale for measuring conditions:

0-1ft – Unridable/Flat
1-2ft – Kneehigh
3ft – Waisthigh
4-5ft – Chest/Shoulderhigh
6ft – Headhigh
6-8ft = 1-1.5x Overhead
8-10ft = 1.5x Overhead
10-12ft = 2x Overhead
Please Note!

Wave height predictions are based on the larger breaks on both coasts such as Fistral and Croyde for the North, and Praa Sands and Bantham for the South.

Wave height is measured from the front of the wave, and 6ft would usually mean a ‘head-high’ wave.

Try and use some ‘local’ knowledge about what the wave sizes will be elsewhere. For example the Newquay Bay area is generally 1/3 to 3/4 the size of Fistral, increasing the further up the bay you go from Towan to Lusty Glaze, and that it will be clean on a W wind at ‘harbour left’ at Towan at mid-tide’ for example.

Tide times are based on Newquay.

Stay Stoked!
SJ
Never known to miss a marketing opportunity... After years in the wilderness, Sj, the harbinger of doom, Mr Entropy, the kiss of death, the swell killer, yes, the man formerly known as SJ, is back, cunningly disguised as Sj ! {Quote: Tony Plant - 2009}
User avatar
Shiraz Jiwa
 
Posts: 100
Joined: Sun Jun 12, 2016 11:54 am

Re: SJ's Surf Forecast for the SW - 1 August - 7 August 2016

Postby Shiraz Jiwa » Thu Aug 04, 2016 6:30 am

SJ’s Surf Forecast for the SW

Forecast last updated at 07:30 Thursday 4th August 2016
Hi everyone – these updates are currently made at any time of the day as and when I get the time/chance to update – however from September the intention would be for it to be updated every weekday morning by 10am.

[Don’t forget to look at this forecast the day before you go beach for the latest, as things can often change!]

The Rest Of The Week:
‘Autumnal feel to this week with strong winds and plenty of rain.’
Sunrise and sunset – 05:55 and 20:55
Twilight starts and ends – 05:15 and 21:35
Midday – 13:25
Length of day – 15:00
Offshore Sea Temp approx – 16.5C / 62F
outputmodelrun-040816-0730
Image

Monday 1st:
‘Small onshore waves.’
Swell – (i) Weak WSW-SW
Wind – Light-Medium going Medium SW
Weather – Overcast with heavy heavy rain
North Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh)
South Coast – 1-2ft (Kneehigh)
Tides – 11:09 Low, 17:09 High

Tuesday 2nd:
‘Sheltered spots on the North should be working with a clean wave.’
Swell – (i) Weak going OK W-WSW
Wind – Medium-Strong going Medium SW
Weather – Overcast and rainy start, with the rain stopping by lunchtime
North Coast – 6ft (Headhigh)
South Coast – 2-4ft (Waisthigh)
Tides – 05:28 Low, 11:49 Low, 17:49 High

Wednesday 3rd:
‘Strong wind! Sheltered spots should be holding a good wave on both coasts. Be careful out there.’
Swell – (i) OK W-WSW going W
Wind – Medium going Medium-Strong WSW
Weather – Mixture of cloud and sunshine
North Coast – 6-8ft (Overhead) going 8-10ft (1.5 x Overhead)
South Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh) going 3-4ft (Waist-Chesthigh)
Tides – 06:13 High, 12:31 Low, 18:31 High

Thursday 4th:
‘Nothing on the North with large even dangerous conditions.’
Swell – (i) OK W
Wind – Medium W going WNW
Weather – Mixture of cloud and sunshine, with the odd light shower
North Coast – 6-8ft (Overhead) going 4-5ft (Chest-Shoulderhigh)
South Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh) going 1-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh)
Tides – 06:53 High, 13:10 Low, 19:11 High (Spring tides)

Friday 5th:
‘Poor quality junky/mushy waves.’
Swell – (i) OK W-WNW going Weak W
Wind – Light-Medium W
Weather – Mixture of cloud and sunshine
North Coast – 3-4ft (Waist-Chesthigh) going 2-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh)
South Coast – 1-2t (Kneehigh)
Tides – 07:32 High, 13:50 Low, 19:49 High

Weekend Summary:
‘All change for the weekend, as the track of the low has adjusted itself over the last 24 hours.’

Saturday 6th:
‘It’s now looking like there could well be a ‘window’ in the winds as they turn light SW for Saturday morning. This should mean there’ll be a small cleanish wave despite the cross/onshore winds.’
Swell – (i) Weak W-WSW
Wind – Light going Light-Medium SW
Weather –Mixture of cloud and sunshine
North Coast – 2-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh)
South Coast – 1f
Tides – 08:09 High, 14:26 Low, 20:24 High

Sunday 7th:
‘Although the new long-range swell is still due to hit on Sunday, the winds now look like they’ll be a medium W-WNW which willunfortunately destroy any quality waves for the North. Depending on how the forecast changes, the south coast might be worth a look towards the low tide mid afternoon.’
Swell – (i) Weak W-WSW going Strong W
Wind – Medium W-WNW
Weather – Mixture of cloud and sunshine
North Coast – 2-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh) soon going 8-10ft (1.5 x overhead)
South Coast – 1ft going 3-4ft (Waist-Chesthigh)
Tides – 08:44 High, 15:01 Low, 20:59 High

Early Next Week:
‘Monday should see plenty of good swell – too early to tell what the winds will do yet!’

The scale for measuring conditions:

0-1ft – Unridable/Flat
1-2ft – Kneehigh
3ft – Waisthigh
4-5ft – Chest/Shoulderhigh
6ft – Headhigh
6-8ft = 1-1.5x Overhead
8-10ft = 1.5x Overhead
10-12ft = 2x Overhead
Please Note!

Wave height predictions are based on the larger breaks on both coasts such as Fistral and Croyde for the North, and Praa Sands and Bantham for the South.

Wave height is measured from the front of the wave, and 6ft would usually mean a ‘head-high’ wave.

Try and use some ‘local’ knowledge about what the wave sizes will be elsewhere. For example the Newquay Bay area is generally 1/3 to 3/4 the size of Fistral, increasing the further up the bay you go from Towan to Lusty Glaze, and that it will be clean on a W wind at ‘harbour left’ at Towan at mid-tide’ for example.

Tide times are based on Newquay.

Stay Stoked!
SJ
Never known to miss a marketing opportunity... After years in the wilderness, Sj, the harbinger of doom, Mr Entropy, the kiss of death, the swell killer, yes, the man formerly known as SJ, is back, cunningly disguised as Sj ! {Quote: Tony Plant - 2009}
User avatar
Shiraz Jiwa
 
Posts: 100
Joined: Sun Jun 12, 2016 11:54 am

Re: SJ's Surf Forecast for the SW - 1 August - 7 August 2016

Postby Shiraz Jiwa » Fri Aug 05, 2016 6:25 am

SJ’s Surf Forecast for the SW

Forecast last updated at 07:15 Friday 5th August 2016
Hi everyone – these updates are currently made at any time of the day as and when I get the time/chance to update – however from September the intention would be for it to be updated every weekday morning by 10am.

[Don’t forget to look at this forecast the day before you go beach for the latest, as things can often change!]

The Rest Of The Week:
‘Autumnal feel to this week with strong winds and plenty of rain.’
Sunrise and sunset – 05:55 and 20:55
Twilight starts and ends – 05:15 and 21:35
Midday – 13:25
Length of day – 15:00
Offshore Sea Temp approx – 16.5C / 62F
outputmodelrun-050816-0715
Image

Monday 1st:
‘Small onshore waves.’
Swell – (i) Weak WSW-SW
Wind – Light-Medium going Medium SW
Weather – Overcast with heavy heavy rain
North Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh)
South Coast – 1-2ft (Kneehigh)
Tides – 11:09 Low, 17:09 High

Tuesday 2nd:
‘Sheltered spots on the North should be working with a clean wave.’
Swell – (i) Weak going OK W-WSW
Wind – Medium-Strong going Medium SW
Weather – Overcast and rainy start, with the rain stopping by lunchtime
North Coast – 6ft (Headhigh)
South Coast – 2-4ft (Waisthigh)
Tides – 05:28 Low, 11:49 Low, 17:49 High

Wednesday 3rd:
‘Strong wind! Sheltered spots should be holding a good wave on both coasts. Be careful out there.’
Swell – (i) OK W-WSW going W
Wind – Medium going Medium-Strong WSW
Weather – Mixture of cloud and sunshine
North Coast – 6-8ft (Overhead) going 8-10ft (1.5 x Overhead)
South Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh) going 3-4ft (Waist-Chesthigh)
Tides – 06:13 High, 12:31 Low, 18:31 High

Thursday 4th:
‘Nothing on the North with large even dangerous conditions.’
Swell – (i) OK W
Wind – Medium W going WNW
Weather – Mixture of cloud and sunshine, with the odd light shower
North Coast – 6-8ft (Overhead) going 4-5ft (Chest-Shoulderhigh)
South Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh) going 1-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh)
Tides – 06:53 High, 13:10 Low, 19:11 High (Spring tides)

Friday 5th:
‘Poor quality junky/mushy waves.’
Swell – (i) OK W-WNW going Weak W
Wind – Light-Medium W
Weather – Mixture of cloud and sunshine
North Coast – 3-4ft (Waist-Chesthigh) going 2-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh)
South Coast – 1-2t (Kneehigh)
Tides – 07:32 High, 13:50 Low, 19:49 High

Weekend Summary:
‘All change for the weekend, as the track of the low has adjusted itself over the last 24 hours.’

Saturday 6th:
‘It’s now looking like there could well be a ‘window’ in the winds as they turn light SW for Saturday morning. This should mean there’ll be a small cleanish wave despite the cross/onshore winds.’
Swell – (i) Weak W-WSW
Wind – Light W-SW going Medium SW
Weather –Warm bright and sunny. Early morning cloud will soon disappear, leaving a fine day, however it will become overcast by evening.
North Coast – 1-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh)
South Coast – 1ft
Tides – 08:09 High, 14:26 Low, 20:24 High

Sunday 7th:
‘Although the new long-range swell is still due to hit on Sunday, the winds now look like they’ll be a medium W which will unfortunately destroy any quality waves for the North. The south coast might be worth a look towards the low tide mid afternoon.’
Swell – (i) Weak W-WSW going Strong W
Wind – Medium WSW going W
Weather – Cloudy and damp start, soon drying to leave a cloudy but dry day.
North Coast – 2-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh) soon going 8-10ft (1.5 x overhead)
South Coast – 1ft going 3-4ft (Waist-Chesthigh)
Tides – 08:44 High, 15:01 Low, 20:59 High

Early Next Week:
‘Summer flat spell coming!! Monday and Tuesday, however with NW winds on Monday turning N-NW on Tuesday, the south coast might be your better bet for a small but clean wave. Wednesday will see the surf get even smaller as a large ‘blocking’ high pressure moves in over the British Isles bringing good weather and light winds, but there are no signs of any swell.’

The scale for measuring conditions:

0-1ft – Unridable/Flat
1-2ft – Kneehigh
3ft – Waisthigh
4-5ft – Chest/Shoulderhigh
6ft – Headhigh
6-8ft = 1-1.5x Overhead
8-10ft = 1.5x Overhead
10-12ft = 2x Overhead
Please Note!

Wave height predictions are based on the larger breaks on both coasts such as Fistral and Croyde for the North, and Praa Sands and Bantham for the South.

Wave height is measured from the front of the wave, and 6ft would usually mean a ‘head-high’ wave.

Try and use some ‘local’ knowledge about what the wave sizes will be elsewhere. For example the Newquay Bay area is generally 1/3 to 3/4 the size of Fistral, increasing the further up the bay you go from Towan to Lusty Glaze, and that it will be clean on a W wind at ‘harbour left’ at Towan at mid-tide’ for example.

Tide times are based on Newquay.

Stay Stoked!
SJ
Never known to miss a marketing opportunity... After years in the wilderness, Sj, the harbinger of doom, Mr Entropy, the kiss of death, the swell killer, yes, the man formerly known as SJ, is back, cunningly disguised as Sj ! {Quote: Tony Plant - 2009}
User avatar
Shiraz Jiwa
 
Posts: 100
Joined: Sun Jun 12, 2016 11:54 am


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