SJ's Surf Forecast for the SW - 29 August -4 September 2016

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SJ's Surf Forecast for the SW - 29 August -4 September 2016

Postby Shiraz Jiwa » Tue Aug 30, 2016 6:44 am

SJ’s Surf Forecast for the SW

Forecast last updated at 07:45 Tuesday 30th August 2016
Hi everyone – these updates are currently made at any time of the day as and when I get the time/chance to update – however from September the intention would be for it to be updated every weekday morning by 10am.

[Don’t forget to look at this forecast the day before you go beach for the latest, as things can often change!]

The Rest Of The Week:
‘Make the most of the good waves at the start of the week, as it all goes flat for the bank holiday weekend.’
Sunrise and sunset – 06:40 and 20:00
Twilight starts and ends – 06:05 and 20:35
Midday – 13:20
Length of day – 13:20
Offshore Sea Temp approx – 17C / 62.5F
outputmodelrun-300816-0730
Image

Tuesday 30th:
‘Calm peaceful day, with a small clean ridable/lonboarding wave on the North.’
Swell – (i) Weak W-WSW going W
Wind – Light S-SE going Light-Medium S-SW
Weather – Mixture of cloud and sunshine, dry.
North Coast – 1-2ft (Kneehigh) going 1-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh)
South Coast – Flat
Tides – 10:54 Low, 16:53 High

Wednesday 31st:
‘Increase in swell size and wind strength for Wednesday. Unfortunately the winds are due to switch from SW to W-NW so the earlier you get out in the morning the better (at sheltered spots on the North). By the afternoon it will be onshore mush everywhere on the North.’
Swell – (i) OK W
Wind – Light-Medium SW going W-NW
Weather – Cloudy and damp start with some light rain. Mixture of cloud and sunshine for the afternoon.
North Coast – 5ft (Shoulderhigh) going 6ft (Headhigh)
South Coast – 2-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh)
Tides – 11:27 Low, 17:36 High

Thursday 1st:
‘Could be good; could be very good – despite the light onshore winds.’
Swell – (i) Strong going OK W-WNW
Wind – Light W going SW
Weather – Bright start, but soon turning cloudy, and then overcast.
North Coast – 6-8ft (Overhead) going 3-4ft (Waist-Chesthigh)
South Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh) going 1-2ft (Kneehigh)
Tides – 12:14 Low, 18:14 High

Friday 2nd:
‘Not much going on with onshore SW winds.’
Swell – (i) OK W (ii) Very Strong W-WSW going W
Wind – Light-Medium SW
Weather – Overcast and dry start. Soon turning wet/rainy by late morning.
North Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh) going 4-5ft (Chest-Shoulderhigh)
South Coast – 1ft going 1-2ft (Kneehigh)
Tides – 06:32 High, 12:48 Low, 18:48 High

Weekend Summary:
‘Big! Long-period swell heading on through… Take care out there as clean-up sneaker sets are likely to push though!’

Saturday 3rd:
‘Plenty of swell. Sheltered spots on the North should get plenty of good surf. Some sneaker sets should start to show late afternoon and evening as a new long period swell starts to show.’
Swell – (i) Very Strong going Strong W (ii)Faint going Epic WSW
Wind – Medium going Medium-Strong SW
Weather – Overcast with light rain showers.
North Coast – 6-8ft (Overhead) going 8-10ft (Well Overhead)
South Coast – 3-5ft (Waist-Shoulderhigh) going 4-6ft (Chest-Headhigh)
Tides – 07:06 High, 13:23 Low, 19:21 High

Sunday 4th:
‘Big surf, with big sneaker sets caused by the long period swell. Will decrease towards the end of the day though. Unfortunately the winds are forecast to be Westerly at the moment, so other options rather than the North coast may be worth a look.’
Swell – (i) Strong going OK W-WNW (ii) Epic going Very Strong WSW
Wind – Medium going Light-Medium W
Weather – Cloudy with some light rain showers.
North Coast – 8-10ft (Well Overhead) going 6-8ft (Overhead)
South Coast – 3-5ft (Waist-Shoulderhigh) going 3-4ft (Waist-Chesrhigh)
Tides – 07:39 High, 13:55 Low, 19:53 High

Early Next Week:
‘Surf heaven!! EARLY signs are for high pressure set to dominate bringing with it light winds, and with the ex-hurricane Gaston still churning out swells in the Atlantic (along with tropical depressions 8 and 9 heading our way), we should get some good long period swells heading our way creating well defined lulls and sets. HOWEVER there is still some divergence in the charts, so this is the optimistic scenario.’

The scale for measuring conditions:

0-1ft – Unridable/Flat
1-2ft – Kneehigh
3ft – Waisthigh
4-5ft – Chest/Shoulderhigh
6ft – Headhigh
6-8ft = 1-1.5x Overhead
8-10ft = 1.5x Overhead
10-12ft = 2x Overhead
Please Note!

Wave height predictions are based on the larger breaks on both coasts such as Fistral and Croyde for the North, and Praa Sands and Bantham for the South.

Wave height is measured from the front of the wave, and 6ft would usually mean a ‘head-high’ wave.

Try and use some ‘local’ knowledge about what the wave sizes will be elsewhere. For example the Newquay Bay area is generally 1/3 to 3/4 the size of Fistral, increasing the further up the bay you go from Towan to Lusty Glaze, and that it will be clean on a W wind at ‘harbour left’ at Towan at mid-tide’ for example.

Tide times are based on Newquay.

Stay Stoked!
SJ
Never known to miss a marketing opportunity... After years in the wilderness, Sj, the harbinger of doom, Mr Entropy, the kiss of death, the swell killer, yes, the man formerly known as SJ, is back, cunningly disguised as Sj ! {Quote: Tony Plant - 2009}
User avatar
Shiraz Jiwa
 
Posts: 100
Joined: Sun Jun 12, 2016 11:54 am

Re: SJ's Surf Forecast for the SW - 29 August -4 September 2

Postby Shiraz Jiwa » Wed Aug 31, 2016 7:31 am

SJ’s Surf Forecast for the SW

Forecast last updated at 08:30 Wednesday 31st August 2016
Hi everyone – these updates are currently made at any time of the day as and when I get the time/chance to update – however from September the intention would be for it to be updated every weekday morning by 10am.

[Don’t forget to look at this forecast the day before you go beach for the latest, as things can often change!]

The Rest Of The Week:
‘Make the most of the good waves at the start of the week, as it all goes flat for the bank holiday weekend.’
Sunrise and sunset – 06:40 and 20:00
Twilight starts and ends – 06:05 and 20:35
Midday – 13:20
Length of day – 13:20
Offshore Sea Temp approx – 17C / 62.5F
outputmodelrun-310816-0830
Image

Tuesday 30th:
‘Calm peaceful day, with a small clean ridable/lonboarding wave on the North.’
Swell – (i) Weak W-WSW going W
Wind – Light S-SE going Light-Medium S-SW
Weather – Mixture of cloud and sunshine, dry.
North Coast – 1-2ft (Kneehigh) going 1-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh)
South Coast – Flat
Tides – 10:54 Low, 16:53 High

Wednesday 31st:
‘Increase in swell size and wind strength for Wednesday. Unfortunately the winds are due to switch from SW to W-NW so the earlier you get out in the morning the better (at sheltered spots on the North). By the afternoon it will be onshore mush everywhere on the North.’
Swell – (i) OK W
Wind – Light-Medium SW going W-NW
Weather – Cloudy and damp start with some light rain. Mixture of cloud and sunshine for the afternoon.
North Coast – 5ft (Shoulderhigh) going 6ft (Headhigh)
South Coast – 2-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh)
Tides – 11:27 Low, 17:36 High

Thursday 1st:
‘Could be good; could be very good – despite the light onshore winds.’
Swell – (i) Strong going OK W-WNW
Wind – Light W going SW
Weather – Bright start, but soon turning cloudy, and then overcast.
North Coast – 6-8ft (Overhead) going 3-4ft (Waist-Chesthigh)
South Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh) going 1-2ft (Kneehigh)
Tides – 12:14 Low, 18:14 High

Friday 2nd:
‘Not much going on with onshore SW winds.’
Swell – (i) OK W (ii) Very Strong W-WSW going W
Wind – Light-Medium SW
Weather – Overcast and dry start. Soon turning wet/rainy by late morning.
North Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh) going 4-5ft (Chest-Shoulderhigh)
South Coast – 1ft going 1-2ft (Kneehigh)
Tides – 06:32 High, 12:48 Low, 18:48 High

Weekend Summary:
‘Big! Long-period swell heading on through… Take care out there as clean-up sneaker sets are likely to push though!’

Saturday 3rd:
‘Plenty of swell. Sheltered spots on the North should get plenty of good surf. Some sneaker sets should start to show late afternoon and evening as a new long period swell starts to show.’
Swell – (i) Very Strong going Strong W (ii)Faint going Epic WSW
Wind – Medium going Medium-Strong SW
Weather – Overcast with light rain showers.
North Coast – 6-8ft (Overhead) going 8-10ft (Well Overhead)
South Coast – 3-5ft (Waist-Shoulderhigh) going 4-6ft (Chest-Headhigh)
Tides – 07:06 High, 13:23 Low, 19:21 High

Sunday 4th:
‘Big surf, with big sneaker sets caused by the long period swell. Will decrease towards the end of the day though. Unfortunately the winds are forecast to be Westerly at the moment, so other options rather than the North coast may be worth a look.’
Swell – (i) Strong going OK W-WNW (ii) Epic going Very Strong WSW
Wind – Medium going Light-Medium W
Weather – Cloudy with some light rain showers.
North Coast – 8-10ft (Well Overhead) going 6-8ft (Overhead)
South Coast – 3-5ft (Waist-Shoulderhigh) going 3-4ft (Waist-Chesrhigh)
Tides – 07:39 High, 13:55 Low, 19:53 High

Early Next Week:
‘Surf heaven!! EARLY signs are for high pressure set to dominate bringing with it light winds, and with the ex-hurricane Gaston still churning out swells in the Atlantic (along with tropical depressions 8 and 9 heading our way), we should get some good long period swells heading our way creating well defined lulls and sets. HOWEVER there is still some divergence in the charts, so this is the optimistic scenario.’

The scale for measuring conditions:

0-1ft – Unridable/Flat
1-2ft – Kneehigh
3ft – Waisthigh
4-5ft – Chest/Shoulderhigh
6ft – Headhigh
6-8ft = 1-1.5x Overhead
8-10ft = 1.5x Overhead
10-12ft = 2x Overhead
Please Note!

Wave height predictions are based on the larger breaks on both coasts such as Fistral and Croyde for the North, and Praa Sands and Bantham for the South.

Wave height is measured from the front of the wave, and 6ft would usually mean a ‘head-high’ wave.

Try and use some ‘local’ knowledge about what the wave sizes will be elsewhere. For example the Newquay Bay area is generally 1/3 to 3/4 the size of Fistral, increasing the further up the bay you go from Towan to Lusty Glaze, and that it will be clean on a W wind at ‘harbour left’ at Towan at mid-tide’ for example.

Tide times are based on Newquay.

Stay Stoked!
SJ
Never known to miss a marketing opportunity... After years in the wilderness, Sj, the harbinger of doom, Mr Entropy, the kiss of death, the swell killer, yes, the man formerly known as SJ, is back, cunningly disguised as Sj ! {Quote: Tony Plant - 2009}
User avatar
Shiraz Jiwa
 
Posts: 100
Joined: Sun Jun 12, 2016 11:54 am

Re: SJ's Surf Forecast for the SW - 29 August -4 September 2

Postby Shiraz Jiwa » Thu Sep 01, 2016 6:21 am

SJ’s Surf Forecast for the SW

Forecast last updated at 07:30 Thursday 1st September 2016
Hi everyone – these updates are currently made at any time of the day as and when I get the time/chance to update – however from September the intention would be for it to be updated every weekday morning by 10am.

[Don’t forget to look at this forecast the day before you go beach for the latest, as things can often change!]

The Rest Of The Week:
‘Make the most of the good waves at the start of the week, as it all goes flat for the bank holiday weekend.’
Sunrise and sunset – 06:40 and 20:00
Twilight starts and ends – 06:05 and 20:35
Midday – 13:20
Length of day – 13:20
Offshore Sea Temp approx – 17C / 62.5F
outputmodelrun-010916-0730
Image

Tuesday 30th:
‘Calm peaceful day, with a small clean ridable/lonboarding wave on the North.’
Swell – (i) Weak W-WSW going W
Wind – Light S-SE going Light-Medium S-SW
Weather – Mixture of cloud and sunshine, dry.
North Coast – 1-2ft (Kneehigh) going 1-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh)
South Coast – Flat
Tides – 10:54 Low, 16:53 High

Wednesday 31st:
‘Increase in swell size and wind strength for Wednesday. Unfortunately the winds are due to switch from SW to W-NW so the earlier you get out in the morning the better (at sheltered spots on the North). By the afternoon it will be onshore mush everywhere on the North.’
Swell – (i) OK W
Wind – Light-Medium SW going W-NW
Weather – Cloudy and damp start with some light rain. Mixture of cloud and sunshine for the afternoon.
North Coast – 5ft (Shoulderhigh) going 6ft (Headhigh)
South Coast – 2-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh)
Tides – 11:27 Low, 17:36 High

Thursday 1st:
‘Could be good; could be very good – despite the light onshore winds.’
Swell – (i) Strong W-WNW going OK W
Wind – Light W going Light-Medium SW
Weather – Bright start, but soon turning cloudy.
North Coast – 6-8ft (Overhead) going 4ft (Chesthigh)
South Coast – 2-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh) going 1-2ft (Kneehigh)
Tides – 12:14 Low, 18:14 High

Friday 2nd:
‘Not much going on with onshore SW winds.’
Swell – (i) OK going Weak W (ii) Faint (Very Strong) W-WSW
Wind – Light-Medium SW going WSW
Weather – Overcast and rainy start. Rain should stop by evening.
North Coast – 4ft (Chesthigh) going 3ft (Waisthigh)
South Coast – 1-2ft (Kneehigh)
Tides – 06:32 High, 12:48 Low, 18:48 High

Weekend Summary:
‘Big! Long-period swell heading on through… Take care out there as clean-up sneaker sets are likely to push though!’

Saturday 3rd:
‘Plenty of swell. Sheltered spots on the North should get plenty of good surf. Some sneaker sets should start to show late afternoon and evening as a new long period swell starts to show.’
Swell – (i) Very Strong going Strong W (ii)Faint going Epic WSW
Wind – Medium going Medium-Strong SW
Weather – Overcast with light rain showers. Some heavy rain expected in the evening.
North Coast – 6-8ft (Overhead) going 8-10ft (Well Overhead)
South Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh) going 4-6ft (Chest-Headhigh)
Tides – 07:06 High, 13:23 Low, 19:21 High

Sunday 4th:
‘Big surf, with big sneaker sets caused by the long period swell. Will decrease towards the end of the day though. Unfortunately the winds are forecast to be Westerly at the moment, so other options rather than the North coast may be worth a look.’
Swell – (i) Strong going OK W (ii) Epic going Very Strong WSW
Wind – Medium going Light-Medium W
Weather – Cloudy but dry. Chance of some light rain showers.
North Coast – 8-10ft (Well Overhead) going 6-8ft (Overhead)
South Coast – 3-5ft (Waist-Shoulderhigh) going 3-4ft (Waist-Chesrhigh)
Tides – 07:39 High, 13:55 Low, 19:53 High

Early Next Week:
‘High pressure set to dominate regardless with great Summery/sunny weather and light to light-medium winds. However the devil is in the detail. The different American/European forecast models are still divergent, giving different outputs – so it could be mega light winds or medium strength winds depending on how things change. Also there won’t be any epic/big swells, however a rather fun quality wave – think lazy hazy ‘halcyonic’ days of Summer as the Atlantic waves roll on through to be met by a gentle offshore breeze giving them shape and definition – lovely!’

The scale for measuring conditions:

0-1ft – Unridable/Flat
1-2ft – Kneehigh
3ft – Waisthigh
4-5ft – Chest/Shoulderhigh
6ft – Headhigh
6-8ft = 1-1.5x Overhead
8-10ft = 1.5x Overhead
10-12ft = 2x Overhead
Please Note!

Wave height predictions are based on the larger breaks on both coasts such as Fistral and Croyde for the North, and Praa Sands and Bantham for the South.

Wave height is measured from the front of the wave, and 6ft would usually mean a ‘head-high’ wave.

Try and use some ‘local’ knowledge about what the wave sizes will be elsewhere. For example the Newquay Bay area is generally 1/3 to 3/4 the size of Fistral, increasing the further up the bay you go from Towan to Lusty Glaze, and that it will be clean on a W wind at ‘harbour left’ at Towan at mid-tide’ for example.

Tide times are based on Newquay.

Stay Stoked!
SJ
Never known to miss a marketing opportunity... After years in the wilderness, Sj, the harbinger of doom, Mr Entropy, the kiss of death, the swell killer, yes, the man formerly known as SJ, is back, cunningly disguised as Sj ! {Quote: Tony Plant - 2009}
User avatar
Shiraz Jiwa
 
Posts: 100
Joined: Sun Jun 12, 2016 11:54 am

Re: SJ's Surf Forecast for the SW - 29 August -4 September 2

Postby Shiraz Jiwa » Fri Sep 02, 2016 7:56 am

SJ’s Surf Forecast for the SW

Forecast last updated at 08:45 Friday 2nd September 2016
Hi everyone – these updates are currently made at any time of the day as and when I get the time/chance to update – however from September the intention would be for it to be updated every weekday morning by 10am.

[Don’t forget to look at this forecast the day before you go beach for the latest, as things can often change!]

The Rest Of The Week:
‘Make the most of the good waves at the start of the week, as it all goes flat for the bank holiday weekend.’
Sunrise and sunset – 06:40 and 20:00
Twilight starts and ends – 06:05 and 20:35
Midday – 13:20
Length of day – 13:20
Offshore Sea Temp approx – 17C / 62.5F
outputmodelrun-020916-0830
Image

Tuesday 30th:
‘Calm peaceful day, with a small clean ridable/lonboarding wave on the North.’
Swell – (i) Weak W-WSW going W
Wind – Light S-SE going Light-Medium S-SW
Weather – Mixture of cloud and sunshine, dry.
North Coast – 1-2ft (Kneehigh) going 1-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh)
South Coast – Flat
Tides – 10:54 Low, 16:53 High

Wednesday 31st:
‘Increase in swell size and wind strength for Wednesday. Unfortunately the winds are due to switch from SW to W-NW so the earlier you get out in the morning the better (at sheltered spots on the North). By the afternoon it will be onshore mush everywhere on the North.’
Swell – (i) OK W
Wind – Light-Medium SW going W-NW
Weather – Cloudy and damp start with some light rain. Mixture of cloud and sunshine for the afternoon.
North Coast – 5ft (Shoulderhigh) going 6ft (Headhigh)
South Coast – 2-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh)
Tides – 11:27 Low, 17:36 High

Thursday 1st:
‘Could be good; could be very good – despite the light onshore winds.’
Swell – (i) Strong W-WNW going OK W
Wind – Light W going Light-Medium SW
Weather – Bright start, but soon turning cloudy.
North Coast – 6-8ft (Overhead) going 4ft (Chesthigh)
South Coast – 2-3ft (Knee-Waisthigh) going 1-2ft (Kneehigh)
Tides – 12:14 Low, 18:14 High

Friday 2nd:
‘Not much going on with onshore SW winds.’
Swell – (i) OK going Weak W (ii) Faint (Very Strong) W-WSW
Wind – Light-Medium SW going W-SW
Weather – Overcast and rainy start. Rain should stop by evening.
North Coast – 4-5ft (Chest-Shoulderhigh) going 3-4ft (Waist-Chesthigh)
South Coast – 1-2ft (Kneehigh)
Tides – 06:32 High, 12:48 Low, 18:48 High

Weekend Summary:
‘Big! Long-period swell heading on through… Take care out there as clean-up sneaker sets are likely to push though!’

Saturday 3rd:
‘Plenty of swell. Sheltered spots on the North should get plenty of good surf. Some sneaker sets should start to show late afternoon and evening as a new long period swell starts to show. Beware of the chunky waves which should be thumping through – even at shelteres spots!’
Swell – (i) Very Strong going Strong W (ii)Faint going Epic WSW
Wind – Medium-Strong S-SW going W-SW
Weather – Overcast with light rain showers. Some heavy rain expected in the evening.
North Coast – 6-8ft (Overhead) going 8-10ft (Well Overhead)
South Coast – 3ft (Waisthigh) going 4-6ft (Chest-Headhigh)
Tides – 07:06 High, 13:23 Low, 19:21 High

Sunday 4th:
‘Big messy surf, with big sneaker sets caused by the long period swell. Will decrease towards the end of the day though. Unfortunately the winds are forecast to be Westerly, so other options rather than the North coast may be worth a look in the morning.’
Swell – (i) Strong going OK W (ii) Epic going Very Strong WSW
Wind – Medium W-NW going Light-Medium W-SW
Weather – Cloudy but dry. Chance of some light rain showers.
North Coast – 8-10ft (Well Overhead) going 6-8ft (Overhead)
South Coast – 3-5ft (Waist-Shoulderhigh) going 3-4ft (Waist-Chesrhigh)
Tides – 07:39 High, 13:55 Low, 19:53 High

Early Next Week:
‘High pressure is set to dominate towards midweek with great Summery/sunny weather and light-medium winds. There won’t be any epic/big swells, however a rather fun quality wave – think lazy hazy ‘halcyonic’ days of Summer as the Atlantic waves roll on through to be met by a gentle offshore breeze giving them shape and definition – lovely! Should start to go off for Tuesday onwards…’

The scale for measuring conditions:

0-1ft – Unridable/Flat
1-2ft – Kneehigh
3ft – Waisthigh
4-5ft – Chest/Shoulderhigh
6ft – Headhigh
6-8ft = 1-1.5x Overhead
8-10ft = 1.5x Overhead
10-12ft = 2x Overhead
Please Note!

Wave height predictions are based on the larger breaks on both coasts such as Fistral and Croyde for the North, and Praa Sands and Bantham for the South.

Wave height is measured from the front of the wave, and 6ft would usually mean a ‘head-high’ wave.

Try and use some ‘local’ knowledge about what the wave sizes will be elsewhere. For example the Newquay Bay area is generally 1/3 to 3/4 the size of Fistral, increasing the further up the bay you go from Towan to Lusty Glaze, and that it will be clean on a W wind at ‘harbour left’ at Towan at mid-tide’ for example.

Tide times are based on Newquay.

Stay Stoked!
SJ
Never known to miss a marketing opportunity... After years in the wilderness, Sj, the harbinger of doom, Mr Entropy, the kiss of death, the swell killer, yes, the man formerly known as SJ, is back, cunningly disguised as Sj ! {Quote: Tony Plant - 2009}
User avatar
Shiraz Jiwa
 
Posts: 100
Joined: Sun Jun 12, 2016 11:54 am


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